Met Office forecast for Saturday
Issued 27 May at 02:43
Dry with clear spells through the early hours of the morning. Higher cloud building from the southwest from dawn with a band of showery rain pushing north across the area for a time mid to late morning, with some heavy, perhaps thundery outbreaks possible. This clearing early afternoon as sunshine and showers feed from the south, again some outbreaks will be heavy with the risk of thunder and hail continuing. Showers dying away from the south for the early evening, with clear spells appearing late evening.
Good becoming moderate or poor in rain or showers.
Bases mostly above the summits through to mid-morning, becoming broken and lowering 500-750m in rain mid to late morning and the afternoon showers, before lifting and breaking from the south during the evening.
Wind at 500m
South or southeast 30-40mph with gusts reaching 55mph over most exposed ridges and summits, veering south to southwest later afternoon, then West to southwest during the evening.
- Valleys/low level: Plus 12 Celsius lifting to an afternoon high of between plus 21 Celsius for a time.
- At 900m: Plus 15 lowering plus 10 Celsius later
- Freezing level: Above all summits
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Storm force winds
Medium risk - Risk over more exposed ridges and summits
Severe chill effect
Persistent extensive hill fog
Medium risk - Small risk through the day, becoming medium for the evening, particularly for southwestern aspects.
High risk - Thunderstorms with hail in showery rain during the morning and again for the afternoon showers.
Heavy persistent rain
Medium risk - Hot sunshine between sunshine for the afternoon leading to a risk of sunburn.
Forecast for Sunday
Most enjoying a dry day with good bright or sunny spells, however temperatures will be significantly down from the past few days. Cloud building from the south during the evening to bring a chance of sharp showers towards midnight.
Over the highest summits becoming very good or excellent above the inversion, but below the inversion mostly moderate occasionally poor in haze, then locally poor in any heavy showers late evening as the inversion breaks down.
Occasional broken down to 600-900m during the early hours of Sunday morning and again late evening, mainly across western aspects, otherwise well broken and mainly above the summits.
Wind at 500m
West or southwest 30-40mph with gusts 55mph over most exposed ridges and summits, soon easing becoming Variable 15mph or less from mid-afternoon.
- Valleys/low level: Plus 10 rising to plus 18 Celsius for a time
- At 900m: Around plus 10 Celsius.
- Freezing level Above all summits.
Outlook for next few days
Best of the conditions across western Fells and during the morning. Turning increasingly cloudy with occasional showers, these more likely across eastern summits such as Harter Fell and Loadpot Hill. Winds turning to a moderate southeasterly.
Cloudy with showers or longer periods of rain during the morning, breaking to sunshine and showers from mid-day. Winds southeasterly at first, turning to a fresh to strong southwesterly over the summits by afternoon.
Mainly dry with best of the brighter spells during the morning. Winds easing for a time, then backing to the south and freshening later.